Predicting recessions and recoveries in real time: The euro area-wide leading indicator (ALI)

This study develops a new monthly euro Area‐wide Leading Indicator (ALI) for the euro area business cycle. It derives the composite ALI by applying a deviation cycle methodology with a one‐sided band pass filter and choosing nine leading series. Our main findings are that i) the applied monthly reference business cycle indicator (BCI) derived from industrial production excluding construction is close to identical to the real GDP cycle, ii) the ALI reliably leads the BCI by 6 months and iii) the longer leading components of the ALI are good predictors of the ALI and therefore the BCI up to almost a year ahead and satisfactory predictors by up to 2 years ahead. A real‐time analysis for predicting the euro business cycle during the 2008/2009 recession and following recovery confirms these findings. JEL Classification: E32business cycle, Deviation cycle, euro area, Leading Indicator, Real‐time analysis

The reward value of infant facial cuteness tracks within-subject changes in women’s salivary testosterone

“Baby schema” refers to infant characteristics, such as facial cues, that positively influence cuteness perceptions and trigger caregiving and protective behaviors in adults. Current models of hormonal regulation of parenting behaviors address how hormones may modulate protective behaviors and nurturance, but not how hormones may modulate responses to infant cuteness. To explore this issue, we investigated possible relationships between the reward value of infant facial cuteness and within-woman changes in testosterone, estradiol, and progesterone levels. Multilevel modeling of these data showed that infant cuteness was more rewarding when women’s salivary testosterone levels were high. Moreover, this within-woman effect of testosterone was independent of the possible effects of estradiol and progesterone and was not simply a consequence of changes in women’s cuteness perceptions. These results suggest that testosterone may modulate differential responses to infant facial cuteness, potentially revealing a new route through which testosterone shapes selective allocation of parental resources

Spectroscopic signature of Alfv\'en waves damping in a polar coronal hole up to 0.4 solar radii

Between February 24-25, 2009, the EIS spectrometer onboard the Hinode spacecraft performed special "sit & stare" observations above the South polar coronal hole continuously over more than 22 hours. Spectra were acquired with the 1" slit placed off-limb covering altitudes up to 0.48 R$_\odot$ ($3.34\times 10^2$ Mm) above the Sun surface, in order to study with EIS the non-thermal spectral line broadenings. Spectral lines such as Fe {\sc xii} $\lambda$186.88, Fe {\sc xii} $\lambda$193.51, Fe {\sc xii} $\lambda$195.12 and Fe {\sc xiii} $\lambda$202.04 are observed with good statistics up to high altitudes and they have been analyzed in this study. Results show that the FWHM of Fe {\sc xii} $\lambda$195.12 line increases up to $\simeq 0.14$ R$_\odot$, then decreases higher up. EIS stray light has been estimated and removed. Derived electron density and non-thermal velocity profiles have been used to estimate the total energy flux transported by Alfv\'en waves off-limb in polar coronal hole up to $\simeq 0.4$ R$_\odot$. The computed Alfv\'en wave energy flux density $f_w$ progressively decays with altitude from $f_w \simeq 1.2 \cdot 10^6$ erg cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$ at 0.03 R$_\odot$ down to $f_w \simeq 8.5 \cdot 10^3$ erg cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$ at 0.4 R$_\odot$, with an average energy decay rate $\Delta f_w / \Delta h \simeq -4.5 \cdot 10^{-5}$ erg cm$^{-3}$ s$^{-1}$. Hence, this result suggests energy deposition by Alfv\'en waves in a polar coronal hole, thus providing a significant source for coronal heating.Comment: Physical units of the Alfv\'en wave Energy Decay Rate $\Delta f_w / \Delta h$ revised with respect to the published version. Scientific results and conclusions unchange

Comparative Measurements of Inverse Spin Hall and Magnetoresistance in YIG|Pt and YIG|Ta

We report on a comparative study of spin Hall related effects and magnetoresistance in YIG|Pt and YIG|Ta bilayers. These combined measurements allow to estimate the characteristic transport parameters of both Pt and Ta layers juxtaposed to YIG: the spin mixing conductance $G_{\uparrow \downarrow}$ at the YIG$|$normal metal interface, the spin Hall angle $\Theta_{SH}$, and the spin diffusion length $\lambda_{sd}$ in the normal metal. The inverse spin Hall voltages generated in Pt and Ta by the pure spin current pumped from YIG excited at resonance confirm the opposite signs of spin Hall angles in these two materials. Moreover, from the dependence of the inverse spin Hall voltage on the Ta thickness, we extract the spin diffusion length in Ta, found to be $\lambda_{sd}^\text{Ta}=1.8\pm0.7$ nm. Both the YIG|Pt and YIG|Ta systems display a similar variation of resistance upon magnetic field orientation, which can be explained in the recently developed framework of spin Hall magnetoresistance.Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures, 1 tabl

Chern-Simons theory and the quantum Racah formula

We generalize several results on Chern-Simons models on Sigma x S1 in the so-called "torus gauge" which were obtained in arXiv:math-ph/0507040 to the case of general (simply-connected simple compact) structure groups and general link colorings. In particular, we give a non-perturbative evaluation of the Wilson loop observables corresponding to a special class of simple but non-trivial links and show that their values are given by Turaev's shadow invariant. As a byproduct we obtain a heuristic path integral derivation of the quantum Racah formula

O projeto ético-político do serviço social: elementos históricos

TCC (graduação) - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Centro Sócio Econômico, Curso de Serviço Social

Neutrino Oscillation Experiments at Nuclear Reactors

In this paper I give an overview of the status of neutrino oscillation experiments performed using nuclear reactors as sources of neutrinos. I review the present generation of experiments (Chooz and Palo Verde) with baselines of about 1 km as well as the next generation that will search for oscillations with a baseline of about 100 km. While the present detectors provide essential input towards the understanding of the atmospheric neutrino anomaly, in the future, the KamLAND reactor experiment represents our best opportunity to study very small mass neutrino mixing in laboratory conditions. In addition KamLAND with its very large fiducial mass and low energy threshold, will also be sensitive to a broad range of different physics.Comment: 10 pages, 5 figures To appear in the proceedings of WIN99, Cape Town, South Africa, Jan9

Detection of the microwave spin pumping using the inverse spin Hall effect

We report electrical detection of the dynamical part of the spin pumping current emitted during ferromagnetic resonance (FMR) using the inverse Spin Hall Effect (ISHE). The experiment is performed on a YIG$|$Pt bilayer. The choice of YIG, a magnetic insulator, ensures that no charge current flows between the two layers and only pure spin current produced by the magnetization dynamics are transferred into the adjacent strong spin-orbit Pt layer via spin pumping. To avoid measuring the parasitic eddy currents induced at the frequency of the microwave source, a resonance at half the frequency is induced using parametric excitation in the parallel geometry. Triggering this nonlinear effect allows to directly detect on a spectrum analyzer the microwave component of the ISHE voltage. Signals as large as 30 $\mu$V are measured for precession angles of a couple of degrees. This direct detection provides a novel efficient means to study magnetization dynamics on a very wide frequency range with great sensitivity

Electroweak corrections to three-jet production in electron-positron annihilation

We compute the electroweak ${\cal O}(\alpha^3\alpha_s)$ corrections to three-jet production and related event-shape observables at electron-positron colliders. We properly account for the experimental photon isolation criteria and for the corrections to the total hadronic cross section. Corrections to the three-jet rate and to normalised event-shape distributions turn out to be at the few-per-cent level.Comment: 5 pages, 4 figures. v2: changed normalisation in Fig. 2, minor text revisions, version to appear in Phys.Lett.

Electroweak corrections to γZ\gamma Z production at hadron colliders

In this paper we present the results from a calculation of the full electroweak one-loop corrections for $\gamma Z$ vector-boson pair production at hadron colliders. The cases of proton--antiproton as well as proton--proton collisions, at the Tevatron and the LHC, respectively, are considered. Results are presented for the distribution of the $\gamma Z$ invariant mass and for the transverse momentum of the final-state photon. The higher-order electroweak effects are numerically significant, in particular for probing possible anomalous gauge-boson couplings